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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;"></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;"></span><span style="font-family: Arial;"></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;">Callao, 02 febrero 2010
17:08pm <br>
<br>
<font size="2">Hola amigos interesados en el tema ENSO, el Resumen ENSO al 02/02/2010
en el <br>
link: <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/Tema1.htm" target="_blank">http://www.arpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/Tema1.htm</a><br><br></font>
</span><font color="#cc3300" size="2"><i><b><span><u>02 febrero 2010 , el analisis de la componente oceanica:</u></span></b></i></font><font size="2"><span><b><i><br></i></b></span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span><b><i>- </i></b><font color="#0000ff">
</font><b><span style="font-weight: normal;">"</span></b><span style="font-weight: normal;"></span><span style="font-weight: normal;"></span><span style="font-weight: normal;"></span><span style="font-weight: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">En
el<span lang="ES-TRAD"> </span></span></span><span style="font-weight: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);" lang="ES-TRAD"><span>Pacifico</span><span> </span><font>ecuatorial</font><span> (región<span> </span>Niño 3</span></span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">.</span><span style="font-weight: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);"><span lang="ES-TRAD">4</span>
, 5°S-5°N y <span lang="ES-TRAD">1</span>20°W-170°W</span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);"><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD">)</span></span><b><span><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD"> el evento mantiene intensidad<span> </span>de<span>
</span></span>
<span style="color: rgb(255, 51, 0);" lang="ES-TRAD">“El Niño” </span><span lang="ES-TRAD"> </span>
<span style="color: rgb(204, 51, 0);" lang="ES-TRAD">moderado</span>,<span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD"><span> </span>en<span>
</span>fase<span> </span>de madurez</span>,<span style="font-weight: normal;">
</span></span></b><span><span style="font-weight: normal;">y q</span></span><b><span><span style="font-weight: normal;">ue luego de haber </span></span><span><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD">alcanzado su mayor pico
de desarrollo</span></span><span><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD">,
</span></span></b><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);"><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD">ha iniciado un proceso de decrecimiento gradual de la anomalía
de TSM</span></span><b><span><span style="font-weight: normal;" lang="ES-TRAD">, condiciones que se mantendrán durante febrero - marzo 2010".
</span></span></b><span style="font-weight: normal;">Su fase de decaimiento se iniciaría a partir de abril
- mayo del
2010</span><b><span>". <i> <u><br></u></i></span></b></font></p><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span><i><u>- <span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);">Además en
</span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-weight: normal;"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 153);"><b>el Pacifico ecuatorial
oriental este (región Niño 3, Niño 1+2 y el litoral
peruano)</b> <b>El Niño se debilita rápidamente,</b> con una
significativa disminución de la anomalía de TSM durante la
ultima quincena de enero</span> (Figs. 1 y 3)</span></u><span style="font-weight: normal;">. (ver
documento: Resumen ENSO al 02/02/10).</span></i></span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span><i><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br></span></i></span></font></p><div>
<div class="O">
<div>
<font size="2"><b><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255);">
<span><i> <u>Pronostico</u></i></span><i><span>:
</span>
</i>
</span>
<i>
<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 255);" lang="ES-TRAD">regionalmente<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span>frente a la costa sudamericana :
</span></i></b></font></div>
<div>
<font size="2"><span>"<b><span lang="ES-TRAD">C</span>ondiciones
de</b><span> </span>
<b style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font color="#ff0000">calentamiento</font></b><span style="color: rgb(255, 51, 0);">
</span>
<span style="color: rgb(204, 51, 0); font-weight: 700;">
moderado</span><span style="color: rgb(255, 51, 0);"> </span><span> </span><b>durante
febrero - marzo 2010</b>, luego, en abril
evolución hacia condiciones de normalización.<span lang="ES-TRAD">
</span> Su impacto en la componente
oceánica será similar al evento El Niño
2002-03".</span></font></div></div></div><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><br><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;">
</span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><b> <span lang="ES-TRAD">- </span><span lang="ES-TRAD">Al </span>15<span lang="ES-TRAD"> </span>
enero</b><b><font style="font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ES-TRAD"> 20</span>10<span lang="ES-TRAD">,</span><span lang="ES-TRAD"><font>
la anomalía de la altura superficial
del mar</font></span></font><font style="font-weight: normal;">
a través de la señal altimétrica<span lang="ES-TRAD">, </span>
muestra <span lang="ES-TRAD">
<span style="color: red;">El Niño</span> moderado que
predomina en el Pacifico ecuatorial central y oriental. Además,
se observa </span>
una menor<span lang="ES-TRAD"> </span>intensidad de la
<span lang="ES-TRAD">actividad
de <font color="#cc3300">Onda Kelvin</font> </span>
respecto de diciembre en que alcanzo el borde sudamericano y la
costa norte del litoral peruano. Fuente: JPL-NASA.<br><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;"></span></font></b></font></p><p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-weight: normal;"><font size="2">
<a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/JPL-03ene2010.gif" target="_blank">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/JPL-15ene2010.gif</a></font> <br>
<br>
Saludos, <br>
Mario Ramirez <br>
Imarpe <br>
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- <br>
P.D. Comentarios a titulo personal, NO de<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span>caracter institucional<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">.</span></span></font></p>