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<p class="MsoNormal"><font size="2">Callao, 17 mayo 2010          
        11:50am</font><br>
<br>
<font size="2"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hola amigos interesados en el tema ENSO, el Informe ENSO Nro.176 al</span> <span style="font-weight: normal;">17/05/2010 en el link:</span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<font size="2"><span style="font-weight: normal;">   <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/</a></span><span style="font-weight: normal;">Inicio/Tema1.htm</span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<font size="2"><br>
-    Pronostico:       regionalmente frente a la costa
sudamericana :<br style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Durante mayo 
                                                                - junio - julio 2010, <u>condiciones 
                                                                de</u><u><span> </span></u><u>normalización</u> en la región costera 
                                                                y oceánica del litoral peruano.</span></font>
</p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span></span>   <a href="http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/image_e.html?img=2010051700_054_G6_global_I_SEASON_tm@lg@sd_000&amp;title=daily">http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/image_e.html?img=2010051700_054_G6_global_I_SEASON_tm@lg@sd_000&amp;title=daily</a></font></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><br></font></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span><span style="text-decoration: none;">Comparación 
                                                                de la evolución e intensidad alcanzada por los 
                                                                eventos El Niño 2002-03 (débil a moderado)  
                                                                y  <br></span></span></font></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span><span style="text-decoration: none;">El Niño 2009-10</span> (moderado a 
                                                                fuerte) en la región Niño 3.</span></font></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span>  <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Temporal/2002vs2009region3ATSM.gif">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Temporal/2002vs2009region3ATSM.gif</a></span></font></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><br><span style="font-size: 11pt;"></span></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font color="#cc3300"><i><b><span style="font-size: 11pt;">17 mayo 
                                                                2010:</span></b></i></font><span style="font-size: 11pt;"><b><i> </i></b><font color="#0000ff">
                                                                </font><span lang="ES-TRAD">&quot;E</span>n<span style=""> 
                                el<span lang="ES-TRAD"> </span></span></span><span lang="ES-TRAD"><span style="font-size: 11pt;">Pacifico</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;"> </span><font style="font-size: 11pt;">ecuatorial</font><span style="font-size: 11pt;">
                                                                </span>central (<span style="text-decoration: none;">región<span style=""> </span>Niño 3</span></span><span style="font-size: 11pt; text-decoration: none;">.<span lang="ES-TRAD">4</span> 
                                        , 5°N-5°S y <span lang="ES-TRAD">1</span>20°-170°W</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;" lang="ES-TRAD">)</span><span style="font-size: 11pt;">
                                                                condiciones de ENSO-neutro durante  junio - 
                                                                julio del 
                                2010&quot;.</span>
                                                                </p><p><span style="font-size: 11pt;">  <font size="2">&quot;En 
                                el Pacifico ecuatorial 
                                oriental (<span style="text-decoration: none;">región Niño 3 
                                , 5°N-5°S , 90-150°W</span>) condiciones de normalización (Figs. 1, 2 y 3) 
                                                                con un promedio diario de anomalía de TSM de +0.1°C.</font></span></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2">Fig. 1 <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-actual.gif">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-actual.gif</a></font></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2">Fig. 2 <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-BMRC-actual.gif">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-BMRC-actual.gif</a><br></font></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal">
<font size="2">Fig. 3 <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-peru-17may2010.gif">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/ATSM-peru-17may2010.gif</a></font><br></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal">
<font size="2"><br></font></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2">- <span>
                                                                                                                <b>
                                                                                                                <font color="#0000ff">Al 
                                                                                                                30 abril 2010</font></b>, 
                                                                                                                l</span><span lang="ES-TRAD">a 
                                                                                                        señal altimétrica de 
                                                                                                        anomalía de la altura 
                                                                                                        superficial del mar, muestra 
                                                                                                                los <b>remanentes 
                                                                                                                calidos</b> al norte y 
                                                                                                                sur<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>de<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>la<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>línea ecuatorial<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>en<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>el<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>Pacifico central<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>y<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>oriental-oeste 
                                                                                                                (ver rectángulo<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>en<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>líneas<span> 
                                                                                                                </span>punteadas). Así 
                                                                                                                mismo, <b>la supresión 
                                                                                                                de la actividad </b> </span><b>
                                                                                                                <span>
                                                                                                                de </span><span lang="ES-TRAD">
                                                                                                                Onda Kelvin</span></b><span lang="ES-TRAD">.</span><span><b>
                                                                                                                </b>Hay en progreso un 
                                                                                                                proceso de transición 
                                                                                                                hacia condiciones 
                                                                                                                ENSO-neutro 
                                                                                                                (normalización) o 
                                                                                                                condiciones de 
                                                                                                                enfriamiento durante el 
                                                                                                                segundo semestre 2010, 
                                                                                                                tanto a lo largo del 
                                                                                                                Pacifico ecuatorial como 
                                                                                                                en la región costera y 
                                                                                                                oceánica del litoral 
                                                                                                                peruano.</span></font>
                                                                                                                </p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><font size="2"><span>  <a href="http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/JPL-30abr2010-logo.gif">http://www.imarpe.gob.pe/enso/Inicio/JPL-30abr2010-logo.gif</a></span></font></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 11pt;"></span>  <br></p><p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal">Comentario: la TSM en el litoral peruano estara por debajo del promedio normal durante el invierno y primavera del 2010.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;" class="MsoNormal">Consecuentemente, estas condiciones frías (enfriamiento ligero) favorecen los aspectos biologicos y reproductivos de las especies pelagicas, principalmente la anchoveta.<br>
<span style="font-size: 11pt;"></span></p><p class="MsoNormal">


<br>
<font style="font-weight: normal;" size="2">Saludos,<br><span style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">Mario Ramirez<br>
Imarpe<br>
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P.D. Comentarios a titulo personal, NO de caracter institucional.</span></font>
</p>