<html><body><div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:HelveticaNeue, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, Lucida Grande, sans-serif;font-size:12pt"><div>Estimados amigos del foro: El dia de hoy en la hora N saldra un pequenyo debate sobre El Ninyo entre el Dr. Woodman y mi persona. Lamentablemente por falta de tiempo no pude contestar refutando lo que el Dr Woodman decia. Lo que si el dice que El Ninyo 2012 fue muy similar al de ahora y ahi les envio un anexo donde se demuestra que no lo es. Asimismo vean una noticia del washington post donde dice que todo parece q sera un evento extraordinnario. Vean el link: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/03/20/subtle-signs-emerging-of-a-super-el-nino/" target="_blank" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(17, 85, 204); font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size:
13px;">http://www.washingtonpost.com/<wbr>blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/<wbr>2014/03/20/subtle-signs-<wbr>emerging-of-a-super-el-nino/</a></div><div style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204); font-size: 13px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; background-color: transparent; font-style: normal;"><br></div><div style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204); font-size: 13px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; background-color: transparent; font-style: normal;">Pienso que lo mas importante ahora es pensar que se viene algo grande y prepararnos para ese evento.</div><div style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204); font-size: 13px; font-family: arial, sans-serif; background-color: transparent; font-style: normal;">Luis Icochea</div><div class="yahoo_quoted" style="display: block;"> <div style="font-family: HelveticaNeue, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, 'Lucida Grande', sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;"> <div style="font-family: HelveticaNeue, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, 'Lucida Grande',
sans-serif; font-size: 12pt;"> <div dir="ltr"> <font size="2" face="Arial"> El Viernes, 28 de marzo, 2014 10:30 A.M., Mario Cabrejos <casal@infotex.com.pe> escribió:<br> </font> </div> <div class="y_msg_container"><div id="yiv8779290621">
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><b><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">Nature
</span></b></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span lang="EN">Volume: 507, Pages: 437–439</span></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span lang="EN">Published online 26 March 2014</span></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span lang="EN">doi:10.1038/507437a</span></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span lang="EN"> </span></div>
<h1 style="background:white;"><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 21.5pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); letter-spacing: -0.4pt; font-weight: normal;">Climate
science: A high bar for decadal forecasts of El Niño</span></h1>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal" style="margin-left:0in;line-height:19.8pt;background:white;"><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Symbol; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><span style="">·<span style="font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; font-family: 'Times New Roman';">
</span></span></span><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v507/n7493/full/507437a.html?WT.ec_id=NATURE-20140327#auth-1"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span style="color:#006699;text-decoration:none;">Pedro DiNezio</span></span></a></span></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal" style="margin-left:0in;line-height:19.8pt;background:white;"><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Symbol; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"><span style="">·<span style="font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 7pt; line-height: normal; font-family: 'Times New Roman';">
</span></span></span><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);">Pedro DiNezio is in the Department of Oceanography, School of
Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii
96822, USA.</span><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);"> Correspondence to: <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.nature.com/nature/foxtrot/svc/authoremailform?doi=10.1038/507437a&file=/nature/journal/v507/n7493/full/507437a.html&title=Climate+science%3A+A+high+bar+for+decadal+forecasts+of+El+Nino&author=Pedro+DiNezio">Pedro
DiNezio</a></span></div>
<div style="line-height:19.8pt;background:white;"><b><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 11pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Climate
simulations suggest that multi-decadal periods of high and low variability in
the phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the tropical
Pacific Ocean may be entirely unpredictable.</span></b></div>
<h1 style="margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:19.8pt;background:white;"><span lang="EN" style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: -0.4pt;"><a rel="nofollow" href=""><span style="font-weight:normal;">References</span></a></span></h1>
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Chen, D.</span></span><span lang="EN">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Cane, M. A.</span></span><span lang="EN">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Kaplan, A.</span></span><span lang="EN">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Zebiak, S. E.</span></span><span lang="EN"> & </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Huang, D.</span></span><span lang="EN"> </span><span class="yiv8779290621source-title1"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51,
51);">Nature</span></span><span lang="EN"> </span><span class="yiv8779290621volume1"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">428</span></span><span lang="EN">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621start-page"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">733</span></span><span lang="EN">–</span><span class="yiv8779290621end-page"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">736</span></span><span lang="EN"> (</span><span class="yiv8779290621year"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">2004</span></span><span lang="EN">). <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://chemport.cas.org/cgi-bin/sdcgi?APP=ftslink&action=reflink&origin=npg&version=1.0&coi=1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2cXjtV2mt74%3D&pissn=0028-0836&pyear=2014&md5=580d25e8ea6303515aaab96907964bb8"><span style="font-family:
Arial, sans-serif;">CAS</span></a> <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2004Natur.428..733C"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">ADS</span></a> <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://links.isiglobalnet2.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?amp;GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=Nature&SrcApp=Nature&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=000220823800034&DestApp=WOS_CPL"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">ISI</span></a> <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?holding=npg&cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=15085127&dopt=Abstract"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">PubMed</span></a> <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://www.nature.com/doifinder/10.1038/nature02439"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">Article</span></a></span></div>
<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Wang, B.</span></span><span lang="EN"> & </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">An,
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">DiNezio, P. N.</span></span><span lang="ES"> <i>et al</i>. </span><span class="yiv8779290621source-title1"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">J. Clim.</span></span><span lang="EN"> </span><span class="yiv8779290621volume1"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">25</span></span><span lang="EN">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621start-page"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">7399</span></span><span lang="EN">–</span><span class="yiv8779290621end-page"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">7420</span></span><span lang="EN"> (</span><span class="yiv8779290621year"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51,
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Lorenz, E. N.</span></span><span lang="EN"> presented at </span><cite><i><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">139th Annu.
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Kirtman, B. P.</span></span><span lang="EN"> & </span><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="EN" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Schopf,
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<div class="yiv8779290621MsoNormal"><span class="yiv8779290621fn"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">Deser, C.</span></span><span lang="ES"> <i>et al</i>. </span><span class="yiv8779290621source-title1"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">J. Clim.</span></span><span lang="ES"> </span><span class="yiv8779290621volume1"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">25</span></span><span lang="ES">, </span><span class="yiv8779290621start-page"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">2622</span></span><span lang="ES">–</span><span class="yiv8779290621end-page"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">2651</span></span><span lang="ES"> (</span><span class="yiv8779290621year"><span lang="ES" style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(51, 51,
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</div><br>*Lista Oannes, fundada el 11 de Octubre de 1996*<br><br>OANNES "SEÑOR DE LAS OLAS"<br>Foro Hispano Americano de Intercambio<br>de Información sobre Temas de Mar.<br>________________________________________<br><br><br>"Agua que no has de tratar, no la dejes correr"<br><br> DORLEOP PERU S.A.C.<br> www.dorleopperu.com<br><br>Biotecnología avanzada para el tratamiento de agua<br><br>Ver video en: <a href="http://youtu.be/9XRiXndItyM" target="_blank">http://youtu.be/9XRiXndItyM</a><br><br>________________________________________<br><br>Visita nuestro canal de Youtube en:<br><a href="https://www.youtube.com/Apkalluoannes" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/Apkalluoannes</a><br><br>Puedes seguirnos en Twiter en:<br><a href="https://twitter.com/ONGOannes" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/ONGOannes</a><br><br>O también
en Facebook en: <a href="https://www.facebook.com/ong.oannes" target="_blank">https://www.facebook.com/ong.oannes</a><br>><> ><> ><> ><> ><> ><> ><> ><><br><br><br><br><br><br>________________________________________<br><br>VISITA NUESTRO PORTAL WEB EN:<br><a href="http://www.oannes.org.pe/" target="_blank">http://www.oannes.org.pe</a><br>PARA ENVIAR MENSAJES A LA LISTA USE:<br><a ymailto="mailto:oannes@lista.oannes.org.pe" href="mailto:oannes@lista.oannes.org.pe">oannes@lista.oannes.org.pe</a><br><br>LOS MENSAJES COMERCIALES ESTAN PROHIBIDOS<br>PARA SUBSCRIBIRSE O DESUBSCRIBIRSE SOLICITELO A:<br><a ymailto="mailto:oannes-owner@lista.oannes.org.pe" href="mailto:oannes-owner@lista.oannes.org.pe">oannes-owner@lista.oannes.org.pe</a><br>________________________________________<br><br>LOS MENSAJES Y ARTICULOS DIFUNDIDOS EN LA LISTA SON EXCLUSIVA RESPONSABILIDAD DE SUS AUTORES QUIENES
ASUMEN TODA RESPONSABILIDAD FRENTE A TERCEROS POR CUALQUIER DAÑO O PERJUICIO QUE EL CONTENIDO DE SUS COMENTARIOS PUEDA CAUSAR, INCLUYENDO RESPONSABILIDADES DE TIPO CIVIL, ADMINISTRATIVAS, PENALES O INFRACCIONES A DERECHOS DE AUTOR, MARCA O DE CUALQUIER NATURALEZA. LA ONG OANNES NO NECESARIAMENTE SE SOLIDARIZA CON LA INFORMACION DE LIBRE CIRCULACION EN "OANNES FORO", "OANNES BOLETIN", RESERVANDOSE EL DERECHO DE ELIMINAR LOS COMENTARIOS QUE SE CONSIDEREN FUERA DE LUGAR, DEL TEMA DE LA DISCUSION O DE LOS OBJETIVOS O PROPOSITOS DE ESTE FORO.<br><br>RECOMENDAMOS QUE INCLUYA SIEMPRE LA FUENTE Y LA FECHA EN CITAS QUE HACE DE PUBLICACIONES DE TERCEROS<br><br>IDENTIFIQUESE CORRECTAMENTE, NO USE SEUDONIMOS, FIRME SUS MENSAJES CON SU NOMBRE REAL<br><br>________________________________________<br>"Tu amigo no es el que te regala un pescado, sino el que te enseña a criarlo y pescarlo con responsabilidad"<br><br>"It is not the person who gives you a fish who is
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