[OANNES Foro] California Current: Six centuries of variability and extremes in a coupled marine-terrestrial ecosystem

Mario Cabrejos casal en infotex.com.pe
Vie Sep 19 07:56:45 PDT 2014


Science 19 September 2014: 
Vol. 345 no. 6203 pp. 1498-1502 
DOI: 10.1126/science.1253209


 


Six centuries of variability and extremes in a coupled marine-terrestrial ecosystem


1.     <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=Bryan+A.+Black&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> Bryan A. Black <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-1> 1, <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#corresp-1> *,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=William+J.+Sydeman&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> William J. Sydeman <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-2> 2,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=David+C.+Frank&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> David C. Frank <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-3> 3,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=Daniel+Griffin&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> Daniel Griffin <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-4> 4,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=David+W.+Stahle&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> David W. Stahle <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-5> 5,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=Marisol+Garc%C3%ADa-Reyes&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> Marisol García-Reyes <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-6> 6, <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=Ryan+R.+Rykaczewski&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> Ryan R. Rykaczewski <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-7> 7,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=Steven+J.+Bograd&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> Steven J. Bograd <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-8> 8,  <http://www.sciencemag.org/search?author1=William+T.+Peterson&sortspec=date&submit=Submit> William T. Peterson <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#aff-9> 9

1.    1University of Texas Marine Science Institute, 750 Channel View Drive, Port Aransas, TX 78373, USA. 2Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research, 101 H Street, Suite Q, Petaluma, CA 94952, USA. 3Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Zähringerstrasse 25, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland. 4Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, 266 Woods Hole Road, Woods Hole, MA 02543, USA. 5Department of Geosciences, University of Arkansas, 216 Ozark Hall, Fayetteville, AR 72701, USA. 6Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research, 101 H Street, Suite Q, Petaluma, CA 94952, USA. 7Department of Biological Sciences and Marine Science Program, University of South Carolina, 701 Sumter Street, Columbia, SC 29208, USA. 8Environmental Research Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 1352 Lighthouse Avenue, Pacific Grove, CA 93950, USA. 9Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Hatfield Marine Science Center, NOAA, 2030 Southeast Marine Science Drive, Newport, OR 97365, USA.  <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/1498.abstract?utm_campaign=email-sci-toc#xref-corresp-1-1> ↵*Corresponding author. E-mail:  <mailto:bryan.black en utexas.edu> bryan.black en utexas.edu
2.     

·          <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/345/6203/tab-abstract> ABSTRACT

Reported trends in the mean and variability of coastal upwelling in eastern boundary currents have raised concerns about the future of these highly productive and biodiverse marine ecosystems. However, the instrumental records on which these estimates are based are insufficiently long to determine whether such trends exceed preindustrial limits. In the California Current, a 576-year reconstruction of climate variables associated with winter upwelling indicates that variability increased over the latter 20th century to levels equaled only twice during the past 600 years. This modern trend in variance may be unique, because it appears to be driven by an unprecedented succession of extreme, downwelling-favorable, winter climate conditions that profoundly reduce productivity for marine predators of commercial and conservation interest.

 



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